Go big or stay home
By Tim Trower
The previous rounds had their share of scrappy, small-lineup teams or mid-majors making noise, but the Final Four is heavy on the bigs, particularly Florida, Georgetown and Ohio State.
In the Georgetown-Ohio State matchup, it’s heralded freshman Greg Oden against 7-foot-2 Roy Hibbert. I expect Oden to follow form and get in early foul trouble. With him idle, the Buckeyes’ smaller, quicker lineup will again rally the team. Ohio State is the best foul-shooting team in the field and will lean on that down the stretch in a 67-65 win.
In the Florida-UCLA game, Florida’s big men and balanced attack will be too much for a UCLA team that has fewer offensive options and whose best player, Aaron Afflalo, has run hot-and-cold in the tournament. I’ll say Florida 77, UCLA 69.
In the championship, a rematch of the BCS title game, it’ll again come down to Florida and the Gators’ many options. The experience of having all five starters back in this situation and Oden’s inability to control the middle spells an 84-81 win for Florida.
Gators to the house
By Frank Silow
All five Florida starters returned from last year’s national championship squad to try to win another title. Just avoiding the upset to get back into the Final Four can be the biggest challenge. Now that the Gators are within two victories of achieving their goal, I don’t think they will be denied being the first team to repeat since Duke in 1991-92.
Florida has the best balanced all-around team in the Final Four. The Gators have demonstrated all the intangibles necessary to be successful on the largest stage. They have the experience. They play an unselfish brand of basketball. They don’t depend on any one or two players. Any of their starters can carry the team depending on the matchup and situation. That was demonstrated by Lee Humphrey’s seven 3-pointers in Florida’s victory over Oregon in the Elite Eight.
Florida hammered UCLA in the finals last year. This year’s semifinal matchup will be closer, but the Gators should be able to exploit a decided advantage inside. UCLA has not allowed an opponent in the tournament to score more than 55 points. Florida has averaged 84 points in its tournament games. UCLA does not have enough firepower to stay with the Gators.
The glamorous pairing in the finals would be a repeat of the football BCS national championship game with Florida meeting Ohio State. But I don’t think the Buckeyes will get past Georgetown in the other semifinal.
Ohio State has been skating on thin ice in the tournament. The Buckeyes’ run in the tournament will come to an end against the tough-minded Hoyas.
In the championship, Florida will beat Georgetown, 74-68.
Oh by the way, I’m somewhat biased, being a Florida graduate.
Gators too much, again
By Kevin Goff
Is Oregon still alive? Seriously though, this field is the strongest, seeding wise, since the 1993 season. So let’s get started.
Georgetown vs. Ohio State: I’ve never been that impressed with Georgetown, but the way the Hoyas rallied from 11 down to beat a good, but young North Carolina squad did catch my eye. And Jeff Green is a phenomenal talent, and if he starts well, he could wreak havoc against the Buckeyes. I see the centers (Georgetown’s Roy Hibbert and Ohio State’s Greg Oden, you may have heard of him) essentially being a wash. That leaves Green and the much more disciplined and experienced Hoyas to slowly pick apart the very young Buckeyes. Final score: Georgetown 72, Ohio State 64.
Florida vs. UCLA: If you like ugly but effective basketball, watch UCLA. Something about this group forces teams to miss the gimmies around the hoop (i.e., Kansas). Unfortunately for the Bruins, Florida can play and win ugly if need be. The Gators, as my once pristine bracket displayed, have all the pieces to race through the Final Four and win a second straight crown. And if Florida’s big guys in the middle (Joakim Noah and Al Horford are two of the best in the game) don’t get it done, then it’s the deadly outside shooting of Lee Humphrey or Taurean Green, or the slashing style of Corey Brewer that will do in the Kevin Love-less Bruins. Final score: Florida 83, UCLA 70.
Championship game: This will be all Florida. Georgetown’s bigs will get in foul trouble trying to keep up with Florida’s quicker counterparts and Humphrey will stay hot to hand coach Billy Donovan another title on his way out the door to coach at Kentucky.
Final score: Florida 81, Georgetown 62.
Hoyas ready to hoist the big trophy
By Don Hunt
Two weeks ago, I penciled in UCLA, Florida, Ohio State and Georgetown to advance to the Final Four. Hey, even a blind squirrel finds an occasional acorn. I also projected Florida and Georgetown moving on to the championship game, with Florida winning a second straight title.
I’ve got a sneaking suspicion now that UCLA will beat Florida. The Gators have been prone to turnovers in this tournament and the lockdown Bruin defense, which aggressively traps and double-teams, will make them pay. Final Score: UCLA 62, Florida 55.
In the other semifinal, I’ll stay with Georgetown. The Hoyas will neutralize Greg Oden with their own 7-footer, Roy Hibbert, in what could be the best big-man showdown in the tournament since Georgetown’s Patrick Ewing faced Houston’s Hakeem Olajuwon in the 1984 national championship game. I like Hibbert’s supporting cast more than Oden’s — Jeff Green was the Big East player of the year. And the Hoyas, led by classy John Thompson III, seem to be a team of destiny. Final Score: Georgetown 57, Ohio State 55.
Georgetown will then edged the Bruins 47-46 in the championship game. Hope y’all like defense.
Gators chomp UCLA, Ohio State
By Warren Blenkush
The Ohio State-Georgetown matchup may depend on which foul-prone big man gets in trouble first.
Although, if Greg Oden picks up two early ones, Ohio State may thrive in his absence as they did early in the season when the 7-footer was injured. Even at times in the tournament, the Buckeyes have played better without Oden, relying more on Mike Conley Jr., Ron Lewis and the rest of their stable of guards to step up.
I love Jeff Green’s game and his versatility for the Hoyas, but I expect Conley to distribute the ball and make good decisions while drilling 3-pointers alongside Lewis, whose been clutch for the Buckeyes all season.
Whichever way the calls swing, all I know is I can’t wait to see the Oden-Hibbert matchup … best big-man matchup in a longtime. THE Ohio State rolls, 72-64.
In the rematch of last season’s championship, I don’t expect the Bruins to get their vengeance. Florida has the same team as last season, but with more experience. There are simply too many weapons on both the outside and obviously on the inside with Joakim Noah and Al Horford controlling the paint.
Aaron Afflalo was exceptional for UCLA in the Elite 8 and I don’t expect anything less of an effort from him against the Gators, but Corey Brewer — one of the best perimeter defenders in the country — will do his best to lock down Afflalo while a smaller Bruin interior struggles with Noah and Horford.
And my wildcard, Lee Humphrey who played out of his mind against Oregon (23 points, including seven from downtown) will provide a perimeter threat what will stretch out Ben Howland’s superb defense, allowing Brewer to slash inside while taking away double teams that may swarm around Noah and Horford.
Not only can the Gators play in the half court, they can get out and run as well. Billy Donovan has Florida playing as a team once again and they have a great complement of players.
I know how tough it is for a college team to repeat in this tournament, but the Gators, led by three potential top 10 picks in the NBA draft, will breeze by the Bruins before repeating as national champs over Ohio State. Florida 76, UCLA 59.
Championship: Florida 81, Ohio State 74.
Just tune in late
By Kris Henry
Are you actually still reading this? The games could’ve been played in the time it’s taken to get down to this point.
Everyone else sounds pretty astute in their observations, so go with them because I really don’t have a feeling either way on the Final Four matchups or championship final. My guess is that all remaining games will be played at a dull, defensive tempo that will ensure every team has a chance to win in the final two minutes. Hibbert’s a stiff and Ohio State’s been playing a game of survival. Noah’s chest-pounding antics are wearing thin — as is Florida’s us-against-the-world mentality — and it’s physically not possible to stomach any more of CBS’ flashes in the crowd to former UCLA great Bill Walton.
Final Four, you mean Frozen Four
By Carl McCutchen
For me, it doesn’t even really matter. My bracket took a fatal hit when the Terps ate it pretty early. Throw in the fact the Fighting Irish never even saw a glimpse of the Elite Eight, and that was it. My attention will really be on the other Four taking place shortly — the Frozen Four. For that, I choose Michigan State to ice everybody else. There you have it.